1月14日，清华五道口金融家大讲堂“全球大趋势对中国和世界的意义”将在清华大学主楼接待厅举办。活动由清华大学国家金融研究院院长、IMF原副总裁朱民主持；牛津大学全球化与发展学教授、前世界银行副行长伊恩·高登将带来主旨演讲。欢迎清华－康奈尔双学位金融MBA项目的同学们踊跃报名参加。

全球大趋势对中国和世界的意义
Global Megatrends: Implications for China and the World

主办单位

Hosts

清华大学五道口金融学院

清华大学国家金融研究院

官方媒体

Offical Media Partners

清华金融评论

未央网

2018年1月14日 10:00

清华大学主楼接待厅

日程（Agenda）：

9:30-10:00 

签到入场

Sign-in

10:00-10:10

开场主持Opening Remarks：

朱民，清华大学国家金融研究院院长、IMF原副总裁

Min ZHU
Chair, Tsinghua NIFR
Former Deputy Managing Director,IMF

10:10-11:10

主旨演讲 Keynote Speech：

伊恩·高登
牛津大学全球化与发展学教授、前世界银行副行长
Ian Goldin
Professor of Globalisation and Development, Oxford University
Former Vice President of the World Bank

11:10-11:30

互动提问，活动结束

Q&A

演讲嘉宾（Guest）：

伊恩·高登
牛津大学全球化与发展学教授、马丁学院技术与经济变革项目主任。创立牛津大学马丁学院，2006年至2016年担任首任院长；2003年至2006年担任世界银行副行长；1996年至2001年担任南非发展银行董事长兼常务董事,及前南非总统纳尔逊·曼德拉的顾问。

Ian Goldin
Professor Ian Goldin was the founding Director of the Oxford Martin School from September 2006 to September 2016. He is currently Oxford University Professor of Globalisation and Development and the Director of the Oxford Martin Programme on Technological and Economic Change. He is a Senior Fellow at the Oxford Martin School and a Professorial Fellow at the University’s Balliol College.
Professor Goldin initiated and was Vice-Chair of the Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations. From 2003 to 2006 he was Vice President of the World Bank. From 1996 to 2001 he was Chief Executive and Managing Director of the Development Bank of Southern Africa and served as an advisor to President Nelson Mandela.

演讲概要（Introduction）：

过去三十年中国迅猛的发展与全球化和科技的加速发展存在着千丝万缕的联系，不断发展的创造力与创新力的融合对世界经济和中国经济产生了深远的影响。寿命的延长和生育率的降低严重影响了养老金、退休和就业率等社会因素，与此同时，人工智能和机器人正在改变工作的本质，对经济和消费产生戏剧性的影响。全球化带来的不仅仅是机遇，也带来了包括流行病、网络攻击、气候变化、金融危机在内的新型突发性系统风险。伊恩·高登的演讲将详细分析推动全球经济增长的驱动力、中国和新兴市场为何在未来几年将会保持高水平增长、阐述未来发展的趋势并为中国和其他国家如何在发展中抓住机遇、减小风险提出建议。

The extraordinary progress in China over the past thirty years has been associated with globalization and accelerating technological change.  Connectivity has been associated with rising creativity and innovation. The speed, scale and complexity of this integration has far-reaching implications for the world economy and for China.

Ian Goldin will identify the drivers of global growth, showing why China and emerging markets are likely to continue to grow at high levels for the coming decades.  Rising life expectancy and declining fertility around the world has dramatic consequences for pensions, retirement, dependency and employment patterns.  Meanwhile, advances in artificial intelligence and robotics is transforming the nature of work and technological change in other areas is leading to dramatic changes in business and consumption.

Globalization spreads not only opportunities but also creates a new form of emergent systemic risks. Pandemics, cyberattacks, climate change and financial contagion are among the systemic risks increasing uncertainty. In the advanced economies, growing inequality and rising risk has been associated with growing extremism which threatens to reverse integration and globalisation.  Ian Goldin identifies future trends, identifying opportunities and strategies for China and other countries to seize the opportunities and mitigate the risks.  

Professor Goldin’s talk will draw on his latest books, Age of Discovery: Navigating the Storms of Our Second Renaissance, published by Bloomsbury (and  in China by CITIC) and The Pursuit of Development: Economic Growth, Social Change and Ideas, published by Oxford University Press and The Butterfly Defect: Globalisation and Systemic Risk, published by Princeton University Press. More information can be found at www.iangoldin.org.

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